Scenario Engine
All scenarios are connected to the same financial model.
| Line | Y1 (2026) | Y2 (2027) | Y3 (2028) | Y4 (2029) | Y5 (2030) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue growth % | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% |
| Revenue | $20.7M | $21.3M | $22.2M | $23.1M | $24M |
| EBITDA | $3.8M | $3.9M | $4.2M | $4.4M | $4.7M |
| Metric | Downside | Base | Upside |
|---|---|---|---|
| Investor IRR | 16.3% | 28.2% | 36.9% |
| Investor MOIC | 2.1x | 3.5x | 4.8x |
| Exit EBITDA | $3.5M | $4.7M | $6.1M |
| Exit Enterprise Value | $15.8M | $21.1M | $27.6M |
| Exit Net Debt | $2M | $-1.4M | $-3.8M |
| Total equity proceeds | $13.9M | $22.5M | $31.3M |
| Investor proceeds | $8.9M | $14.4M | $20.1M |
| Min DSCR | 1.45x | 1.83x | 1.95x |